December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! Here was the tweet the office issued. Local News Sports Politics Opinion For Subscribers . Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. Weather Forecast Office. A high minimum temperature of 59 on the 4th broke the old warm low for the date of 56 from 1946. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. The free 12News+ app from 12News lets users stream live events including daily newscasts like "Today in AZ" and "12 News" and our daily lifestyle program, "Arizona Midday"on Roku and Amazon Fire TV. Every one of them ended up being cooler than a year ago. If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. All NOAA. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. Long-Range Weather Forecast 2023 for Places in Arizona Ajo, AZ Apache Junction, AZ Arizona City, AZ Avondale, AZ Avra Valley, AZ Benson, AZ Big Park, AZ Bisbee, AZ Buckeye, AZ Bullhead City, AZ Camp Verde, AZ Casa Grande, AZ Casas Adobes, AZ Catalina, AZ Catalina Foothills, AZ Cave Creek, Maricopa County, AZ Chandler, AZ Chinle, AZ Chino Valley, AZ A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. Evening Weather Forecast - 2/26/23. This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. Generally, cool areas of the country are expected to see significant snowfalls before the start of December, although the almanac predicts Thanksgiving could have good weather in most areas of the U.S. Christmas, on the other hand, could be unsettled with either rain or snow depending on your local temperatures, the almanac says. Please try another search. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. This is the highest wind gust, tied with August 11, 1995, to be recorded at the airport in the past 50 years. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. The snowpack in the Upper Colorado River Basin was at 133 percent of the 30-year historical average as of Monday, and sits at 101 percent of what the basin has received on average through an . If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. It begins just at the backend. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. Winter 2022-2023 should be dominated by an active storm track in the eastern half of the country, running from the western Gulf of Mexico to the northeast, across the Virginias, and across interior New York State and New England. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. Snowfall will be below normal in most areas that normally receive snow, with the snowiest periods in early to mid-January and early February. NOTE: The Winter 2022 Tier for MEMBERS and ANYONE INTERESTED is OPEN FOR JANUARY THROUGH END FEBRUARY WITH REDUCED SEASONAL TIER RATES. The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be up below normal and a 33% chance that they will end up above normal. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. Since it was a colder one than earlier in the month, snow levels at times reached down to the valley floor with some light snow occurring on the east side of the metro area. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. For the most part, it looks like fairly, you know, pleasant, quiet kind of weather in September and a good part of October, Geiger said. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. 3. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a half an inch (0.50") with a localized spots, especially in the foothills, recording up to nine-tenths of an inch (0.90"). The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. Multiple locations were found. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . This month the airport recorded 9 days which is the highest amount dating back to 1948. January climate data across southeast Arizona. Toggle navigation. Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 15th driest January through October period on record. A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. Which City Is the Worst for Fall Allergies This Year? The average yearly temperature of 54.3 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 31st warmest on record through the end of February. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. In a couple of words: its nice! Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. Enter any city, zip or place. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers Almanac,said there wasnt much particularly interesting or new forecasted for the area this fall, with generally fair weather from September through October. In other words, it will be cold in the area. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. Winter in Arizona is always a mixed bag. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. November climate data across southeast Arizona. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. November 2022 to October 2023 Winter will be warmer than normal, with above-normal precipitation. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? All rights reserved. Alaska through Central and Northern Canada to Greenland. The best chance of a colder-than-average January will be in northern Minnesota. Thanks to the new warmer 30-year climate normals, which went into effect last year, the average yearly temperature this year through the end of March is below normal although it was warmer than two years ago (56.8 vs 56.5). National Weather Service The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. Get more stories delivered right to your email. The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. It's also the ninth time February this century that the average monthly temperature was below normal. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. Expect snowy days, but not as many as we usually see (which isn't great for this whole drought situation we're in). In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. Will the huge Tongan volcano eruption last January have a role? The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". Includes Daily Risk of Precipitation, High/Low/Average Temperatures, Heating/Cooling Degree Days and Growing Degree Days, Transition Day Start or End of a Risky Period. account_box Log in person_add Join settings Settings Sensor Network Maps & Radar Severe Weather News & Blogs Mobile Apps Historical Weather star 36.91 N, 111.46 W Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Click on the images below for the year, monthly and seasonal snapshots! National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. Temperature extremes for Fall ranged from a high of 103 on September 6th to a low of 36 on November 26th. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in January 2024. Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. We are already at 10 for Los Angeles, which shows we are on track here in the Desert Southwest with that number not even close to being a traditional La Nina. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. For comparison through the end of March, the current climate normal period (1991-2020) average temperature is 57.4 while the previous climate normal period (1981-2010) average temperature was 56.1. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. NWS Tucson Arizona. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). Yuck. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. The states climate is varied and unique, featuring many different biomes and environments. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. Support local journalism. . The deep monsoonal moisture that was over the area for most of the month started to dry out during the last week of the month under a drier upper air pattern. 2023 www.azcentral.com. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". The impacts from the cold plunge resulted in a multi-billion disaster, with Texas especially hard-hit. During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. Above normal moisture values for early October combined with several atmospheric disturbances moving across the area produced isolated to scattered showers or thunderstorms on a daily basis during the first ten days of the month. Winter is a great time to hike the Grand Canyon (just be careful of ice), and its also a fun time to go camping in the milder central and southern parts of the state. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. The silver lining is that when warmer weather finally does arrive, we'll be even more grateful for it. When Does It End? The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. The 2022-2023 U.S. Winter Outlook map for precipitation shows wetter-than-average conditions are most likely in western Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) issued a La Nia Watch on Thursday for the potential re-emergence of La Nia conditions by the fall. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. NWS The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. This ranks as the 11th driest Spring on record. The average temperature in Arizona in January is. Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, has varied widely across the metro area. With a colder air mass in place, high temperatures were in the 50's from the 12th through 16th with daily lows in the mid 20's to mid 30's from the 13th through the 17th. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". July climate data across southeast Arizona. No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch (0.33") with isolated spots recording up to 1.00". . If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. About the author Related Posts Farmers' Almanac Staff Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . Kristin Murphy, Deseret News Flannel, hot chocolate and snowshoes are in the winter forecast from the Farmers' Almanac, which is predicting a shivery 2022-2023 winter for most of the United States. (100 percent delivery time) CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 Geiger said the almanac predicts snow this winter in northern Arizona between Nov. 20 and 23, and snow in higher elevation areas would continue into early December. The previous two occurrences were in 1984 & 2010. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. Colder air and blocking weather pattern often develop when the polar vortex is weak. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. April climate data across southeast Arizona. He also said that in its more than 200 years of printing, only seven people have done the weather, with each working for about 30 or 40 years andthey have applied that sameformula. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 104 on the 6th and 30th to a low of 70 on the 23rd. The first day of winter and the shortest day of the year, officially arrives on December 21, 2022, but that doesn't always mean that the cold temperatures and snow storms will wait until then. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. There are other puzzle pieces besides La Nia to consider in the forecast, which leads us to the next question. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. 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